Maersk could hand back more cash to shareholders – analysts
Time：2014-09-24
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Speaking ahead of a day of investor and strategy meetings on Wednesday, analysts estimated the group could increase its distribution of cash to shareholders as much as ten times.
The Danish shipping and oil group announced its first share buyback programme in its 110-year history in August. It said it would buy $1 billion of its shares in the 12 months from Sept. 1 and would consider more in the future.
Analysts, though, estimate the company has reaped some $10 billion through selling non-core assets over the last six years. Several also noted its stake in the Chissonga deepwater oil project in Angola could be next on the block.
“It is our opinion that the company’s strong balance sheet and cash flow, combined with fewer costs to oil exploration and oil production, mean Maersk can increase (its) share buyback programme by $5-$10 billion,” broker Handelsbanken Capital Markets wrote.
Nordea Equity Research said exploration costs at Maersk Oil could be cut to $600 to $700 million in 2015 and 2016 from $1.1 billion last year, due to lower oil prices.
“We argue that A.P. Moller-Maersk can return significant cash to shareholders in the coming years, based on the strong earnings and cash flow profile, combined with the effects from recent divestments,” Nordea analysts wrote in a note.
The bank includes in its estimate the sale of a 50 percent stake in the Chissonga project by next year. Maersk Oil has a 65 percent stake now.
Measured by turnover, A.P. Moller-Maersk is Denmark’s biggest company. The group has about 1,000 subsidiaries although it focuses on container shipping through Maersk Line, terminal operations through APM Terminals, oil production through Maersk Oil and drilling through Maersk Drilling.
Nordea has a buy recommendation and price target of 19,000 Danish crowns. Maersk shares traded on Tuesday at 15,000 crowns, down 0.79 percent, at 11:05 GMT (12:05 p.m. BST).